Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.147731 0.168715 0.192513 0.221687 0.256739 0.297816 0.350067
2025-04-20 0.114914 0.142002 0.176065 0.222837 0.286672 0.372709 0.500976
2025-04-27 0.096467 0.126265 0.166734 0.227427 0.319330 0.459014 0.699840
2025-05-04 0.084002 0.114951 0.159603 0.231553 0.350492 0.551529 0.948702
2025-05-11 0.075328 0.106951 0.154956 0.237254 0.384388 0.658908 1.278920
2025-05-18 0.067986 0.099503 0.149420 0.239647 0.412460 0.765303 1.671759
2025-05-25 0.061888 0.092962 0.144013 0.240699 0.437796 0.875666 2.152893
2025-06-01 0.056481 0.086737 0.138030 0.239220 0.457327 0.981150 2.709614
2025-06-08 0.051608 0.080759 0.131534 0.235331 0.470447 1.076953 3.330423
2025-06-15 0.048837 0.078026 0.130411 0.241882 0.509231 1.259901 4.495428
2025-06-22 0.045056 0.073075 0.124471 0.237135 0.519247 1.365314 5.484109
2025-06-29 0.042550 0.070150 0.122009 0.239495 0.548390 1.548544 7.201899
2025-07-06 0.039659 0.066286 0.117333 0.236276 0.562498 1.693386 9.053333
2025-07-13 0.037736 0.064061 0.115708 0.240024 0.598405 1.948158 12.489576
2025-07-20 0.036175 0.062371 0.114967 0.245820 0.643033 2.277968 18.044112
2025-07-27 0.034668 0.060633 0.113899 0.250599 0.686633 2.646766 26.386088
2025-08-03 0.033408 0.059266 0.113458 0.256972 0.738712 3.117995 40.764838
2025-08-10 0.031988 0.057439 0.111772 0.259641 0.778974 3.575336 61.631790
2025-08-17 0.030589 0.055533 0.109685 0.260813 0.814537 4.055771 94.128031
2025-08-24 0.029132 0.053388 0.106808 0.259176 0.838642 4.497706 141.012882
2025-08-31 0.027638 0.051051 0.103240 0.254870 0.850275 4.870118 205.020322
2025-09-07 0.026910 0.050300 0.103406 0.262126 0.917214 5.843239 425.323752
2025-09-14 0.025567 0.048108 0.099820 0.256868 0.923919 6.272029 667.840494